Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 14-2 (AFC West champs)
Best addition: Craig Davis (WR, 1st round pick out of LSU)
Key personnel loss: Donnie Edwards (LB, Chiefs)
2007 outlook: The team that should have won the Super Bowl last year, San Diego added no veterans in the offseason and only lost guys who were expendable. The biggest change has to be the return of Norv Turner, this time as head coach and he should be the difference between last year's playoff loss and deep playoff run this year - if he can actually coach the Chargers better than he did the Skins and the Raiders.
With LaDainian Tomlinson, Philip Rivers and Antonio Gates on offense and Jamal Williams, Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips on defense, this team is solid on both sides of the ball yet again this season. The additions of draft picks Davis and Eric Weddle should only help San Diego fill the holes it had last year.
Key to success: For San Diego to make a run at the Super Bowl, Turner is going to have to get over his past coaching deficiencies. Lucky for him, he happened upon a job that even he shouldn't be able to screw up. If he can add more fire power to the offense and the defense doesn't suffer a lapse after losing D coordinator Wade Phillips to Dallas, this should be the team to beat in the AFC.
Against Washington: Washington let a victory slip out of its grasp in 2005 when Tomlinson's 41-yard TD run in overtime gave SD a 23-17 win a week after Washington lost to Turner's Raiders 16-13. Both were losses at home. SD will not face Washington this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Vincent Jackson. With Keenan McCardell no longer in SD and with Eric Parker being vertically challenged, it is up to the 6'5" Jackson to help take some of the focus off of Gates. Jackson showed flashes of promise in multiple games last year when they were on the line and if can find some consistency this season, he should become the steal of the draft and one of the better fantasy receivers in the league. Nab him in the middle rounds and reap the benefits.
Monday, July 30, 2007
2007 Previews: St. Louis Rams
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 8-8 (second in NFC West)
Best addition: Drew Bennett (WR, Titans)
Key personnel loss: Kevin Curtis (WR, Eagles)
2007 outlook: Like Pittsburgh and New England are to defense, St. Louis is to offense and you better believe that if the Rams think Bennett is an upgrade over Curtis at WR, it's probably true. Mark Bulger recently signed a huge extension and Steven Jackson is one of the top runners in the NFL. Throw in Tory Holt and Isaac Bruce and you've an offense most defenses don't want to face.
However, for as much as the offense does to win games the defense almost seems to do as much to lose games. While there are decent pieces all over the defense, the Rams lack that one standout that you always have to account for. It is because of this unimpressive defense that St. Louis will struggle to make the playoffs.
Key to success: Obviously it comes down to the play of the defense and it's ability to stay healthy. With no real depth behind ok starters, the Rams will rely a lot on their starting 11 to carry the load and not give away games. Even if the unit doesn't suffer any major injuries, the Rams will still have a tough time of producing a solid all-around team.
Against Washington: With 2 weeks left in the season, it took overtime before Washington lost at St. Louis 37-31, despite 129 yards rushing from Ladell Betts. These teams won't face each other during the regular season.
Fantasy sleeper: Randy McMichael. The TE's seem to have a good chance to breakout this year and McMichael is one of those guys who, while good in the past, could have a career year because of the new, pass-happy offense he is in. However, the TE has never been that big of a deal in St. Louis but the Rams have never had a pass catcher at the position like McMichael, so it will be interesting to see how this scenario plays out.
Last year: 8-8 (second in NFC West)
Best addition: Drew Bennett (WR, Titans)
Key personnel loss: Kevin Curtis (WR, Eagles)
2007 outlook: Like Pittsburgh and New England are to defense, St. Louis is to offense and you better believe that if the Rams think Bennett is an upgrade over Curtis at WR, it's probably true. Mark Bulger recently signed a huge extension and Steven Jackson is one of the top runners in the NFL. Throw in Tory Holt and Isaac Bruce and you've an offense most defenses don't want to face.
However, for as much as the offense does to win games the defense almost seems to do as much to lose games. While there are decent pieces all over the defense, the Rams lack that one standout that you always have to account for. It is because of this unimpressive defense that St. Louis will struggle to make the playoffs.
Key to success: Obviously it comes down to the play of the defense and it's ability to stay healthy. With no real depth behind ok starters, the Rams will rely a lot on their starting 11 to carry the load and not give away games. Even if the unit doesn't suffer any major injuries, the Rams will still have a tough time of producing a solid all-around team.
Against Washington: With 2 weeks left in the season, it took overtime before Washington lost at St. Louis 37-31, despite 129 yards rushing from Ladell Betts. These teams won't face each other during the regular season.
Fantasy sleeper: Randy McMichael. The TE's seem to have a good chance to breakout this year and McMichael is one of those guys who, while good in the past, could have a career year because of the new, pass-happy offense he is in. However, the TE has never been that big of a deal in St. Louis but the Rams have never had a pass catcher at the position like McMichael, so it will be interesting to see how this scenario plays out.
Saturday, July 28, 2007
2007 Previews: Pittsburgh Steelers
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 8-8 (third in AFC North)
Best addition: Lawrence Timmons (LB, 1st round pick out of Florida State)
Key personnel loss: Joey Porter (LB, Dolphins)
2007 outlook: Once again the Steelers improved their team through smart drafting and leaving the free agent marking relatively alone. Aside from replacing some of the depth that departed, the only real blow to the Steelers was the loss of Porter, who many Pittsburgh fans will say is on the decline. And if there is one thing Pittsburgh cranks out and always has an abundance of, it's LB's, which bodes well for Timmons whom was chosen in the first round.
Offensively, the Steelers are hoping Ben Roethlisburger's bad luck is behind him. After the year he had last year, there should be no place to go but up. However, Roethlisburger may not be back to form right away as last year's offensive staff is now in Arizona, meaning Big Ben now has a new offense to get under his belt. His weapons on offense should help soften that transition though.
Key to success: If the Steelers can have a seemless transition to what the new coaching staff wants to do, there is no reason this team can't return to being the Super Bowl contender it was two years ago. Most of the pieces remain intact and as long as the Steelers remain a run first offense (which may not be a given considering new O coordinator Bruce Arians' statements that he wants more out of the passing game), they should be able to win games like they always do, controlling the clock and playing solid defense.
Against Washington: While the Skins and the Steelers do not face each other in the regular season this year and haven't played a regular season contest against each other since Washington lost a 17-6 game in Pittsburgh in 2004, the two teams will play in Washington during the preseason. With it being the second week of the preseason, don't look for the starters to play a ton but take it as an opportunity to see which bubble players have the best chance at catching on.
Fantasy sleeper: Hines Ward. For some reason Ward is one of those guys who always seems to be overlooked when it comes to fantasy WR's, even though he had almost 1,000 yards receiving and 6 TD's last season. The TD's may have been a little low but in three of the past five years Ward has posted 10 or more TD's. Don't make the mistake of overlooking Ward because he is a steady producer that you know what you are getting when you pick him.
Last year: 8-8 (third in AFC North)
Best addition: Lawrence Timmons (LB, 1st round pick out of Florida State)
Key personnel loss: Joey Porter (LB, Dolphins)
2007 outlook: Once again the Steelers improved their team through smart drafting and leaving the free agent marking relatively alone. Aside from replacing some of the depth that departed, the only real blow to the Steelers was the loss of Porter, who many Pittsburgh fans will say is on the decline. And if there is one thing Pittsburgh cranks out and always has an abundance of, it's LB's, which bodes well for Timmons whom was chosen in the first round.
Offensively, the Steelers are hoping Ben Roethlisburger's bad luck is behind him. After the year he had last year, there should be no place to go but up. However, Roethlisburger may not be back to form right away as last year's offensive staff is now in Arizona, meaning Big Ben now has a new offense to get under his belt. His weapons on offense should help soften that transition though.
Key to success: If the Steelers can have a seemless transition to what the new coaching staff wants to do, there is no reason this team can't return to being the Super Bowl contender it was two years ago. Most of the pieces remain intact and as long as the Steelers remain a run first offense (which may not be a given considering new O coordinator Bruce Arians' statements that he wants more out of the passing game), they should be able to win games like they always do, controlling the clock and playing solid defense.
Against Washington: While the Skins and the Steelers do not face each other in the regular season this year and haven't played a regular season contest against each other since Washington lost a 17-6 game in Pittsburgh in 2004, the two teams will play in Washington during the preseason. With it being the second week of the preseason, don't look for the starters to play a ton but take it as an opportunity to see which bubble players have the best chance at catching on.
Fantasy sleeper: Hines Ward. For some reason Ward is one of those guys who always seems to be overlooked when it comes to fantasy WR's, even though he had almost 1,000 yards receiving and 6 TD's last season. The TD's may have been a little low but in three of the past five years Ward has posted 10 or more TD's. Don't make the mistake of overlooking Ward because he is a steady producer that you know what you are getting when you pick him.
2007 Previews: Philadelphia Eagles
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 10-6 (NFC East champs)
Best addition: Takeo Spikes (LB, Bills)
Key personnel loss: Donte Stallworth (WR, Patriots)
2007 outlook: Last year's conference champs are hoping they can continue the great run they had with Jeff Garcia at QB without Garcia. After Donovan McNabb went down for the season with a torn ACL, Garcia gave Philly fans hope and led the Eagles back to the playoffs. Besides Garcia, the Eagles let Stallworth leave after one year with the club but the addition of Kevin Curtis should balance things out in the end. The offense is in decent shape otherwise, as long as McNabb and Brian Westbrook can stay healthy, which is not a given.
The addition of Spikes on defense gives Philly another playmaking LB to complement Jeremiah Trotter while the defensive line and secondary are in good shape as well. This Philly squad is fairly balanced all around with no glaring holes.
Key to success: Keeping players healthy can probably be determined as a key to success for any team but it especially holds true for Philly, with the special attention needing to be paid to McNabb and Westbrook. These two are the most consistent players on offense when they are playing but neither has played 16 games in consecutive seasons in a long time. Defensively, the health of DE Jevon Kearse will also have a huge impact on the team.
Against Washington: Philly will host the Skins in Week 2 before meeting up again in November in Washington. As with all of the teams in the NFC East, no matter how good or bad a team is playing during a given season records will have to be thrown out when these two teams meet and past performance is no indication of future success. Look for at least one of these games to be fairly close and competitive.
Fantasy sleeper: L.J. Smith. Smith is in a contract year and as usual with most consistent players, expect a huge season from Smith so he can go out and sign a large contract only to return to mediocrity next year. But the good news for fantasy owners is you only get to keep Smith for one season and this should be the season. Don't draft him with the upper echelon TE's like Antonio Gates and Tony Gonzalez, but do keep him in your top 6 and be ready to select him when the third and fourth TE's are drafted.
Last year: 10-6 (NFC East champs)
Best addition: Takeo Spikes (LB, Bills)
Key personnel loss: Donte Stallworth (WR, Patriots)
2007 outlook: Last year's conference champs are hoping they can continue the great run they had with Jeff Garcia at QB without Garcia. After Donovan McNabb went down for the season with a torn ACL, Garcia gave Philly fans hope and led the Eagles back to the playoffs. Besides Garcia, the Eagles let Stallworth leave after one year with the club but the addition of Kevin Curtis should balance things out in the end. The offense is in decent shape otherwise, as long as McNabb and Brian Westbrook can stay healthy, which is not a given.
The addition of Spikes on defense gives Philly another playmaking LB to complement Jeremiah Trotter while the defensive line and secondary are in good shape as well. This Philly squad is fairly balanced all around with no glaring holes.
Key to success: Keeping players healthy can probably be determined as a key to success for any team but it especially holds true for Philly, with the special attention needing to be paid to McNabb and Westbrook. These two are the most consistent players on offense when they are playing but neither has played 16 games in consecutive seasons in a long time. Defensively, the health of DE Jevon Kearse will also have a huge impact on the team.
Against Washington: Philly will host the Skins in Week 2 before meeting up again in November in Washington. As with all of the teams in the NFC East, no matter how good or bad a team is playing during a given season records will have to be thrown out when these two teams meet and past performance is no indication of future success. Look for at least one of these games to be fairly close and competitive.
Fantasy sleeper: L.J. Smith. Smith is in a contract year and as usual with most consistent players, expect a huge season from Smith so he can go out and sign a large contract only to return to mediocrity next year. But the good news for fantasy owners is you only get to keep Smith for one season and this should be the season. Don't draft him with the upper echelon TE's like Antonio Gates and Tony Gonzalez, but do keep him in your top 6 and be ready to select him when the third and fourth TE's are drafted.
Training Camp opens
Here is a quick break from the preview posts to say how glad I am that training camp is finally underway. Now only another month before games that count. I was hoping to get out to camp for the first time ever (I have previously been to Chargers fan days when I lived in San Diego) but I had to reschedule.
I will eventually make it out to camp this year and when I do I will get some pictures of this year's version of the Washington Redskins up to go along with what I saw. This is my favorite part of the offseason and before we know it, we will see how the 2007 squad compares to the rest of the league. Hail to the Redskins.
I will eventually make it out to camp this year and when I do I will get some pictures of this year's version of the Washington Redskins up to go along with what I saw. This is my favorite part of the offseason and before we know it, we will see how the 2007 squad compares to the rest of the league. Hail to the Redskins.
2007 Previews: Oakland Raiders
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 2-14 (worst in NFL)
Best addition: JaMarcus Russell (QB, No. 1 overall pick out of LSU)
Key personnel loss: Randy Moss (WR, Patriots)
2007 outlook: If fans want to feel better about their team - no matter how bad it has been - they only need to be thankful they aren't Oakland fans. This team is a wreck and it doesn't appear that they are going in the right direction anytime soon. There is a lot of hope Russell will be the man who will return the Raiders to excellence, but the loss of Moss will be a huge blow to a mediocre offense.
Defensively the Raiders aren't much better as this unit is battling old age, along with all of the other struggles of facing opponents. Younger pieces such as Michael Huff and Kirk Morrison will be counted on to make an impact but it will be difficult to predict how the newest coaching regime will affect this unit despite the fact that D coordinator Rob Ryan has been retained. The Raiders should change their logo to a giant question mark.
Key to success: Success is not a possible option in 2007. Every team would like to believe they have a chance to put an unforgettable season together on the way to a Super Bowl win but the Raiders don't even have enough to have that dream. This year will be about getting Russell and other young players adjusted to the NFL in hopes of making a run at 2008.
Against Washington: Former Skins boss Norv Turner was trying to turn the Raiders around the last time these two teams met - which was two coaches ago. Turner actually got the better of his former squad in 2005, 16-13. These two teams do not meet in 2007.
Fantasy sleeper: Ronald Curry. In the past, Curry has teased fantasy owners with his spurts of TD's intermixed with times injured, having them thinking that if Curry stays healthy, he could be a valuable weapon. This year will be no different but if Curry stays healthy, he could be a valuable asset. Just don't put too much stock in his health and only select him late if tempted to take a chance.
Last year: 2-14 (worst in NFL)
Best addition: JaMarcus Russell (QB, No. 1 overall pick out of LSU)
Key personnel loss: Randy Moss (WR, Patriots)
2007 outlook: If fans want to feel better about their team - no matter how bad it has been - they only need to be thankful they aren't Oakland fans. This team is a wreck and it doesn't appear that they are going in the right direction anytime soon. There is a lot of hope Russell will be the man who will return the Raiders to excellence, but the loss of Moss will be a huge blow to a mediocre offense.
Defensively the Raiders aren't much better as this unit is battling old age, along with all of the other struggles of facing opponents. Younger pieces such as Michael Huff and Kirk Morrison will be counted on to make an impact but it will be difficult to predict how the newest coaching regime will affect this unit despite the fact that D coordinator Rob Ryan has been retained. The Raiders should change their logo to a giant question mark.
Key to success: Success is not a possible option in 2007. Every team would like to believe they have a chance to put an unforgettable season together on the way to a Super Bowl win but the Raiders don't even have enough to have that dream. This year will be about getting Russell and other young players adjusted to the NFL in hopes of making a run at 2008.
Against Washington: Former Skins boss Norv Turner was trying to turn the Raiders around the last time these two teams met - which was two coaches ago. Turner actually got the better of his former squad in 2005, 16-13. These two teams do not meet in 2007.
Fantasy sleeper: Ronald Curry. In the past, Curry has teased fantasy owners with his spurts of TD's intermixed with times injured, having them thinking that if Curry stays healthy, he could be a valuable weapon. This year will be no different but if Curry stays healthy, he could be a valuable asset. Just don't put too much stock in his health and only select him late if tempted to take a chance.
Friday, July 27, 2007
2007 Previews: New York Jets
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 10-6 (second in AFC East)
Best addition: Thomas Jones (RB, Bears)
Key personnel loss: Patrick Ramsey (QB, Broncos)
2007 outlook: The Jets caught everyone off guard last year under new coach Eric Mangini, making the playoffs and having players achieve the talent-levels they had previously teased fans with for many years. After years of injury problems Chad Pennington reminded us why he used to be one of the best up-and-comers and with this year's moves, the Jets are hoping they can keep pace with New England.
On defense the Jets already had a large collection of talent and the additions of free agents and draft picks only seem to make New York stronger. The Jets hope 1st round pick Darrelle Revis will be a solid option alongside Andre Dyson in the defensive backfield but an injury to either one could cause big problems in the secondary as the depth is thin.
Key to success: Pennington's health will determine how big of an impact the offense has on the season. If Pennington is injured once again, the lack of a solid backup after letting Ramsey go to the Broncos as a free agent, will spend the end of a playoff run like it has in previous years. This team needs Pennington if it is going to succeed, previous seasons have proven that.
Against Washington: The Skins will travel to the Meadowlands to take on the Jets on Nov. 4, one week before New York's bye week. It is the first of two Meadowlands trips the Skins will make as they will also face the Giants at the Meadowlands on Dec. 16.
Fantasy sleeper: Chris Baker. In an NFL where the TE position is always in flux, Baker proved he was more than a blocking TE during the playoffs. And with the departure of Doug Jolley, the role is Baker's to lose. There always seems to be a need for a solid pass-catching TE on fantasy teams so keep Baker on your list as a guy who may actually score points from the TE position.
Last year: 10-6 (second in AFC East)
Best addition: Thomas Jones (RB, Bears)
Key personnel loss: Patrick Ramsey (QB, Broncos)
2007 outlook: The Jets caught everyone off guard last year under new coach Eric Mangini, making the playoffs and having players achieve the talent-levels they had previously teased fans with for many years. After years of injury problems Chad Pennington reminded us why he used to be one of the best up-and-comers and with this year's moves, the Jets are hoping they can keep pace with New England.
On defense the Jets already had a large collection of talent and the additions of free agents and draft picks only seem to make New York stronger. The Jets hope 1st round pick Darrelle Revis will be a solid option alongside Andre Dyson in the defensive backfield but an injury to either one could cause big problems in the secondary as the depth is thin.
Key to success: Pennington's health will determine how big of an impact the offense has on the season. If Pennington is injured once again, the lack of a solid backup after letting Ramsey go to the Broncos as a free agent, will spend the end of a playoff run like it has in previous years. This team needs Pennington if it is going to succeed, previous seasons have proven that.
Against Washington: The Skins will travel to the Meadowlands to take on the Jets on Nov. 4, one week before New York's bye week. It is the first of two Meadowlands trips the Skins will make as they will also face the Giants at the Meadowlands on Dec. 16.
Fantasy sleeper: Chris Baker. In an NFL where the TE position is always in flux, Baker proved he was more than a blocking TE during the playoffs. And with the departure of Doug Jolley, the role is Baker's to lose. There always seems to be a need for a solid pass-catching TE on fantasy teams so keep Baker on your list as a guy who may actually score points from the TE position.
2007 Previews: New York Giants
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 9-7 (second in NFC East)
Best addition: Reuben Droughns (RB, Browns)
Key personnel loss: Tiki Barber (RB, retired)
2007 outlook: The Giants are going to be hard pressed to replace Barber, who appeared to retire with a couple of good years still left in him. Trading for Droughns makes sense but the combination of him and Brandon Jacobs may not be enough if Eli Manning struggles once again this season. Manning has enough weapons to at least be successful in New York but his own mistakes have cost him.
On defense, key players like Michael Strahan and Sam Madison continue to get older while the young talent the team has brought in struggles to live up to expectations. If the young talent can show it is finally ready to make an impact, the Giants may have enough to challenge for the NFC East title again this season.
Key to success: How Jacobs and Droughns fare early on in replacing Barber will tell us what kind of team this year's squad will be. If they make the fans of New York forget Barber, then the Giants are surely a playoff team. However, if they struggle early on defenses will be able to concentrate on stopping the passing game which could lead to the exit of Manning if things get really bad.
Against Washington: Washington will obviously take on the Giants twice this season, the first game during Week 3 in Washington while the second is the third to last week in the season in New York. The Giants have had the Skins number of late but a majority of those wins have been because Barber ran roughshod over the Washington defense. Obvioulsy his retirement changes New York's dominance though.
Fantasy sleeper: Amani Toomer. Before rupturing his ACL last season, Toomer was quickly becoming the go-to guy for Manning and if he can come back healthy this year there is no reason he shouldn't return to his role this year. The biggest concern is when (or maybe even if) he'll return but if he does, keep him in mind once he finally gets back to full speed.
Last year: 9-7 (second in NFC East)
Best addition: Reuben Droughns (RB, Browns)
Key personnel loss: Tiki Barber (RB, retired)
2007 outlook: The Giants are going to be hard pressed to replace Barber, who appeared to retire with a couple of good years still left in him. Trading for Droughns makes sense but the combination of him and Brandon Jacobs may not be enough if Eli Manning struggles once again this season. Manning has enough weapons to at least be successful in New York but his own mistakes have cost him.
On defense, key players like Michael Strahan and Sam Madison continue to get older while the young talent the team has brought in struggles to live up to expectations. If the young talent can show it is finally ready to make an impact, the Giants may have enough to challenge for the NFC East title again this season.
Key to success: How Jacobs and Droughns fare early on in replacing Barber will tell us what kind of team this year's squad will be. If they make the fans of New York forget Barber, then the Giants are surely a playoff team. However, if they struggle early on defenses will be able to concentrate on stopping the passing game which could lead to the exit of Manning if things get really bad.
Against Washington: Washington will obviously take on the Giants twice this season, the first game during Week 3 in Washington while the second is the third to last week in the season in New York. The Giants have had the Skins number of late but a majority of those wins have been because Barber ran roughshod over the Washington defense. Obvioulsy his retirement changes New York's dominance though.
Fantasy sleeper: Amani Toomer. Before rupturing his ACL last season, Toomer was quickly becoming the go-to guy for Manning and if he can come back healthy this year there is no reason he shouldn't return to his role this year. The biggest concern is when (or maybe even if) he'll return but if he does, keep him in mind once he finally gets back to full speed.
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
2007 Previews: New Orleans Saints
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 10-6 (NFC South champs)
Best addition: Brian Simmons (LB, Bengals)
Key personnel loss: Joe Horn (WR, Falcons)
2007 outlook: Last year's pleasant surprise after all New Orleans had been through, the Saints are out to prove that last year was no fluke and any offense that lines up Drew Brees, Reggie Bush and Deuce McAllister has a chance to put up big numbers. However, with the departure of Horn, the only proven (and I use the term loosely) WR entering the season is Marques Colston, who was a pleasant surprise himself last year.
On defense the addition of Williams should make a sturdy defense even more consistent but there is not necessarily anyone on this side of the ball that will blow you away. The line will put pressure on the QB, the LB corp should be able to stop the run and defend the pass and the DB's should be able to keep receivers in check but it will be done in a very workmanlike way. Flashy players need not apply to play D for the Saints.
Key to success: If the Saints can replicate what they did last year, they should be in the thick of it once again in an NFC that seems to have 8-8 teams on the verge of the playoffs almost every season as of late. Without many additions or subtractions on either side of the ball, the only real question mark this team has is at the receiving position. And if there are any Colston's in this year's bunch the Saints will be fine.
Against Washington: The last of the Skins 5 wins from last season came in New Orleans with three weeks left in the season. One of Jason Campbell's shining moments in his first campaign, the Skins won that game 16-10 and will not see the Saints this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Devery Henderson. Like many other WR's in the league this year, the time for Henderson to show what he has is now. With promising 1st round pick Robert Meachem also looking to fill the spot opposite Colston, Henderson's speed is his greatest asset. If he can get open downfield, look for him to score 6-8 TD's this year and become a valuable third WR in deep fantasy leagues.
Last year: 10-6 (NFC South champs)
Best addition: Brian Simmons (LB, Bengals)
Key personnel loss: Joe Horn (WR, Falcons)
2007 outlook: Last year's pleasant surprise after all New Orleans had been through, the Saints are out to prove that last year was no fluke and any offense that lines up Drew Brees, Reggie Bush and Deuce McAllister has a chance to put up big numbers. However, with the departure of Horn, the only proven (and I use the term loosely) WR entering the season is Marques Colston, who was a pleasant surprise himself last year.
On defense the addition of Williams should make a sturdy defense even more consistent but there is not necessarily anyone on this side of the ball that will blow you away. The line will put pressure on the QB, the LB corp should be able to stop the run and defend the pass and the DB's should be able to keep receivers in check but it will be done in a very workmanlike way. Flashy players need not apply to play D for the Saints.
Key to success: If the Saints can replicate what they did last year, they should be in the thick of it once again in an NFC that seems to have 8-8 teams on the verge of the playoffs almost every season as of late. Without many additions or subtractions on either side of the ball, the only real question mark this team has is at the receiving position. And if there are any Colston's in this year's bunch the Saints will be fine.
Against Washington: The last of the Skins 5 wins from last season came in New Orleans with three weeks left in the season. One of Jason Campbell's shining moments in his first campaign, the Skins won that game 16-10 and will not see the Saints this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Devery Henderson. Like many other WR's in the league this year, the time for Henderson to show what he has is now. With promising 1st round pick Robert Meachem also looking to fill the spot opposite Colston, Henderson's speed is his greatest asset. If he can get open downfield, look for him to score 6-8 TD's this year and become a valuable third WR in deep fantasy leagues.
2007 Previews: New England Patriots
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 6-10 (12-4, AFC East champs)
Best additions: Randy Moss (WR, Raiders) and Adalius Thomas (LB, Ravens)
Key personnel loss: Cory Dillon (RB, retired)
2007 outlook: With an entirely new WR corp that includes the embattled Moss, nothing short of a Super Bowl will appear satisfactory in New England. And while Laurence Maroney will be on his own in the backfield with the retirement of Dillon, this offense seems loaded enough to make another deep playoff run at the least. The Patriots have to be considered a favorite to win the AFC as long as they have Tom Brady and he will probably have the best WR corp he's ever had.
A solid defensive team gets better with the addition of Thomas, but the continued holdout of Asante Samuel could leave a thin secondary exposed. After being tagged a franchise player, Samuel said he will sit out the first 10 games after he failed to reach a long term agreement with NE which means he may be ineffective for longer than that as he has to get back into playing shape once he shows up. Still, NE has enough weapons on defense to be able to hide a deficiency in the secondary.
Key to success: The Patriots went out and spent some serious money to upgrade positions they thought were week. If those new players struggle to fit into NE's mold, a promising season could get ugly in a hurry. They are likely to win the AFC East again regardless of what happens but their playoff run could be short if there are too many uncertainties late in the season.
Against Washington: The Patriots will host the Skins on Oct. 28, two week before the Patriots bye week and one week before NE faces Peyton Manning and the Colts, meaning Washington could potentially steal a game if the Skins can catch NE looking ahead a week.
Fantasy sleeper: Wes Welker. 1 of 4 WR's added this offseason, Welker could explode as the go-to guy when Moss and Dante Stallworth draw extra attention. Welker could lead the Patriots in receptions as he will likely fill a role similar to the one Art Monk filled in his days with the Posse, possession and outlet receiver. Welker could be a potential steal in the later rounds, provided he can turn his open looks underneath into long receptions and TD's.
Last year: 6-10 (12-4, AFC East champs)
Best additions: Randy Moss (WR, Raiders) and Adalius Thomas (LB, Ravens)
Key personnel loss: Cory Dillon (RB, retired)
2007 outlook: With an entirely new WR corp that includes the embattled Moss, nothing short of a Super Bowl will appear satisfactory in New England. And while Laurence Maroney will be on his own in the backfield with the retirement of Dillon, this offense seems loaded enough to make another deep playoff run at the least. The Patriots have to be considered a favorite to win the AFC as long as they have Tom Brady and he will probably have the best WR corp he's ever had.
A solid defensive team gets better with the addition of Thomas, but the continued holdout of Asante Samuel could leave a thin secondary exposed. After being tagged a franchise player, Samuel said he will sit out the first 10 games after he failed to reach a long term agreement with NE which means he may be ineffective for longer than that as he has to get back into playing shape once he shows up. Still, NE has enough weapons on defense to be able to hide a deficiency in the secondary.
Key to success: The Patriots went out and spent some serious money to upgrade positions they thought were week. If those new players struggle to fit into NE's mold, a promising season could get ugly in a hurry. They are likely to win the AFC East again regardless of what happens but their playoff run could be short if there are too many uncertainties late in the season.
Against Washington: The Patriots will host the Skins on Oct. 28, two week before the Patriots bye week and one week before NE faces Peyton Manning and the Colts, meaning Washington could potentially steal a game if the Skins can catch NE looking ahead a week.
Fantasy sleeper: Wes Welker. 1 of 4 WR's added this offseason, Welker could explode as the go-to guy when Moss and Dante Stallworth draw extra attention. Welker could lead the Patriots in receptions as he will likely fill a role similar to the one Art Monk filled in his days with the Posse, possession and outlet receiver. Welker could be a potential steal in the later rounds, provided he can turn his open looks underneath into long receptions and TD's.
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
2007 Previews: Minnesota Vikings
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 6-10 (third in NFC North)
Best addition: Mike Doss (S, Colts)
Key personnel loss: Fred Smoot (CB, Redskins)
2007 outlook: The Vikings have a lethal secondary after adding Doss to play alongside Darren Sharper, but the loss of Smoot means they are still searching for someone to play opposite Antoine Winfield. But three studs in the secondary is a great start. Add that to a defensive line showcasing Kevin Williams, Pat Williams and Kenechi Udeze and you've got a strong defense - at least until you look closer at the LB corp, which leaves something to be desired.
On offense, Minnesota is turning the reigns over to unproven QB Tarvaris Jackson and with no veteran backup, things could get interesting. One thing Jackson will have is plenty of RB's to play with after the drafting of Oklahoma product Adrian Peterson in the first round. But Jackson won't have much help in the receiving department so any judgments of Jackson's performance may not be entirely accurate.
Key to success: Fans will look to the progress of Jackson to determine if Minnesota made the right move in letting journeyman Brad Johnson walk away a second time, but the real key here will be the WR's and their ability to help their QB. None of them have really lived up to expectations and if they continue to fall short this year, defenses will be able to stack the box against the run and then it won't matter how many decent RB's the Vikings throw out there, they will have no room to run.
Against Washington: The Skins will travel to Minnesota with two weeks left in the season and if things go as planned, both teams will be hoping to be playing for a playoff spot. This game comes during a tough December for Washington in which it will host Chicago and Dallas while traveling to New York and Minnesota in between.
Fantasy sleeper: Troy Williamson. This is a make or break year for Williamson, who will be counted on to help bail out Jackson in times of trouble. If Williamson wants to stick in Minnesota, he will need to have a big year. And any owner smart enough to draft him in later rounds will be rewarded when Williamson's speed leads to big plays. But if he flops, he will frustrate owners who decide to play him before he has given any reason too.
Last year: 6-10 (third in NFC North)
Best addition: Mike Doss (S, Colts)
Key personnel loss: Fred Smoot (CB, Redskins)
2007 outlook: The Vikings have a lethal secondary after adding Doss to play alongside Darren Sharper, but the loss of Smoot means they are still searching for someone to play opposite Antoine Winfield. But three studs in the secondary is a great start. Add that to a defensive line showcasing Kevin Williams, Pat Williams and Kenechi Udeze and you've got a strong defense - at least until you look closer at the LB corp, which leaves something to be desired.
On offense, Minnesota is turning the reigns over to unproven QB Tarvaris Jackson and with no veteran backup, things could get interesting. One thing Jackson will have is plenty of RB's to play with after the drafting of Oklahoma product Adrian Peterson in the first round. But Jackson won't have much help in the receiving department so any judgments of Jackson's performance may not be entirely accurate.
Key to success: Fans will look to the progress of Jackson to determine if Minnesota made the right move in letting journeyman Brad Johnson walk away a second time, but the real key here will be the WR's and their ability to help their QB. None of them have really lived up to expectations and if they continue to fall short this year, defenses will be able to stack the box against the run and then it won't matter how many decent RB's the Vikings throw out there, they will have no room to run.
Against Washington: The Skins will travel to Minnesota with two weeks left in the season and if things go as planned, both teams will be hoping to be playing for a playoff spot. This game comes during a tough December for Washington in which it will host Chicago and Dallas while traveling to New York and Minnesota in between.
Fantasy sleeper: Troy Williamson. This is a make or break year for Williamson, who will be counted on to help bail out Jackson in times of trouble. If Williamson wants to stick in Minnesota, he will need to have a big year. And any owner smart enough to draft him in later rounds will be rewarded when Williamson's speed leads to big plays. But if he flops, he will frustrate owners who decide to play him before he has given any reason too.
2007 Previews: Miami Dolphins
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 6-10 (fourth in AFC East)
Best additions: Joey Porter (LB, Steelers) and Trent Green (QB, Chiefs)
Key personnel loss: Wes Welker (WR, Patriots)
2007 outlook: Say what you will about Porter's last year in Pittsburgh and his lack of production, but any defense that boasts Porter, Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas is a defense I would not want to face, even if most of the guys are on the downside of their careers. That trio, along with a decent supporting cast, would have Dolphins fans thinking playoffs if the offense wasn't in such a mess.
Other than Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers (both of whom have their own struggles from time to time), the Dolphins have no other consistent weapons on offense, meaning this team will struggle to stay out of the AFC East cellar again this year. Now I am a John Beck fan and think he is an NFL-caliber QB based on his body of work at BYU, but I think he may be a year away from actually contributing something consistently. And with the Daunte Culpepper experiment lasting only one season and the Green era now underway, hopefully Beck will get that much needed year of learning on the sideline to adjust to the NFL.
Key to success: This season will ride entirely on the offense. If Green can somehow get steady production out of guys like Brown, Chambers and TE Randy McMichael, the Phins may actually be okay. The playoffs may still be a year away, but any progress towards a good season has to be encouraging for Phins fans.
Against Washington: The Skins will look to erase the disaster that was the 2006 season by posting a convincing win against the visiting Dolphins in the season opener. Of course Miami will be looking to do the same, so whichever team comes out on top may set the tone for a good season.
Fantasy sleeper: John Beck. Green is no spring chicken and after last year's horrific accident in which he missed most of the season, one has to wonder how long he can stay healthy this year. And with top level QB's always at a premium in fantasy play, Beck could provide a much anticipated boost if he is needed to come in at some point. And if the Dolphins 2007 begins to mirror 2006, look for them to get Beck some playing time so he can be ready to lead them to a winning season in 2008.
Last year: 6-10 (fourth in AFC East)
Best additions: Joey Porter (LB, Steelers) and Trent Green (QB, Chiefs)
Key personnel loss: Wes Welker (WR, Patriots)
2007 outlook: Say what you will about Porter's last year in Pittsburgh and his lack of production, but any defense that boasts Porter, Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas is a defense I would not want to face, even if most of the guys are on the downside of their careers. That trio, along with a decent supporting cast, would have Dolphins fans thinking playoffs if the offense wasn't in such a mess.
Other than Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers (both of whom have their own struggles from time to time), the Dolphins have no other consistent weapons on offense, meaning this team will struggle to stay out of the AFC East cellar again this year. Now I am a John Beck fan and think he is an NFL-caliber QB based on his body of work at BYU, but I think he may be a year away from actually contributing something consistently. And with the Daunte Culpepper experiment lasting only one season and the Green era now underway, hopefully Beck will get that much needed year of learning on the sideline to adjust to the NFL.
Key to success: This season will ride entirely on the offense. If Green can somehow get steady production out of guys like Brown, Chambers and TE Randy McMichael, the Phins may actually be okay. The playoffs may still be a year away, but any progress towards a good season has to be encouraging for Phins fans.
Against Washington: The Skins will look to erase the disaster that was the 2006 season by posting a convincing win against the visiting Dolphins in the season opener. Of course Miami will be looking to do the same, so whichever team comes out on top may set the tone for a good season.
Fantasy sleeper: John Beck. Green is no spring chicken and after last year's horrific accident in which he missed most of the season, one has to wonder how long he can stay healthy this year. And with top level QB's always at a premium in fantasy play, Beck could provide a much anticipated boost if he is needed to come in at some point. And if the Dolphins 2007 begins to mirror 2006, look for them to get Beck some playing time so he can be ready to lead them to a winning season in 2008.
Sunday, July 22, 2007
2007 Previews: Kansas City Chiefs
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 9-7 (second in AFC West)
Best addition: Donnie Edwards (LB, Chargers)
Key personnel loss: Dante Hall (WR, Rams)
2007 outlook: Things seemed to be looking up until All-Pro RB Larry Johnson announced he was holding out until he got a new contract. Now, a team without one of the best RB's in the league and poised to start a rookie QB looks like it could be in for a long season if things continue to go this way.
On the positive side, the additions of Edwards, Napoleon Harris and Alfonso Boone could actually give KC a respectable defense for the first time in a long while. The Achilles heel of this team in the past has been its inability to stop anyone and looks like this year things could be different.
Key to success: Along with how quickly the defense assimilates its new parts, the offense has a lot of new, young parts as well, including 2nd year QB Brodie Croyle and rookie WR Dwayne Bowe. While Croyle will have a tough time replacing the departed Trent Green and his consistent statistical output, Bowe will probably have the harder time living up to expectations as he is the latest in a long line of WR's that will try to give KC some respectability at the position. And needless to say, if Johnson does holdout, the adjusment period for those two players becomes a lot longer.
Against Washington: The Skins last faced KC during its latest playoff season in 2005, during the middle of a losing streak. Like the game the week before against Denver, Washington squandered opportunities to win the game, losing 28-21. KC is not on Washington's schedule this year.
Fantasy sleeper: Defense. I know what you're thinking, KC NEVER has a good D. And for the most part you are right, but with the offensive turnover and uncertainty this season, and the promise KC's addition on defense show, this group could actually be good. There may be no point in actually drafting this team, especially if a proven defense like SD or Baltimore is still available in the later rounds, but keep an eye on this group early on and keep them in mind when you are looking for a unit to spell your team during it's bye week.
Last year: 9-7 (second in AFC West)
Best addition: Donnie Edwards (LB, Chargers)
Key personnel loss: Dante Hall (WR, Rams)
2007 outlook: Things seemed to be looking up until All-Pro RB Larry Johnson announced he was holding out until he got a new contract. Now, a team without one of the best RB's in the league and poised to start a rookie QB looks like it could be in for a long season if things continue to go this way.
On the positive side, the additions of Edwards, Napoleon Harris and Alfonso Boone could actually give KC a respectable defense for the first time in a long while. The Achilles heel of this team in the past has been its inability to stop anyone and looks like this year things could be different.
Key to success: Along with how quickly the defense assimilates its new parts, the offense has a lot of new, young parts as well, including 2nd year QB Brodie Croyle and rookie WR Dwayne Bowe. While Croyle will have a tough time replacing the departed Trent Green and his consistent statistical output, Bowe will probably have the harder time living up to expectations as he is the latest in a long line of WR's that will try to give KC some respectability at the position. And needless to say, if Johnson does holdout, the adjusment period for those two players becomes a lot longer.
Against Washington: The Skins last faced KC during its latest playoff season in 2005, during the middle of a losing streak. Like the game the week before against Denver, Washington squandered opportunities to win the game, losing 28-21. KC is not on Washington's schedule this year.
Fantasy sleeper: Defense. I know what you're thinking, KC NEVER has a good D. And for the most part you are right, but with the offensive turnover and uncertainty this season, and the promise KC's addition on defense show, this group could actually be good. There may be no point in actually drafting this team, especially if a proven defense like SD or Baltimore is still available in the later rounds, but keep an eye on this group early on and keep them in mind when you are looking for a unit to spell your team during it's bye week.
2007 Previews: Jacksonville Jaguars
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 8-8 (third in AFC South)
Best addition: Jermaine Wiggins (TE, Vikings)
Key personnel loss: Donovin Darius (S, FA)
2007 outlook: In all honesty, Jacksonville didn't lose or gain much through free agency, and in fact of all of the players the Jaguars lost, they actually seemed to be doing themselves a favor. A .500 team last year, the team continues to be plagued by mediocre WR's (hello Dennis Northcutt) while boasting a strong running game and questions about Byron Leftwich's health. Along with Wiggins, the only real offensive threat is RB Maurice Jones-Drew.
With a coach like Jack Del Rio, the Jaguars should remain a solid defensive team although the recent release of Darius and the loss of Deon Grant leave holes at the safety position. If the secondary play remains steady, this defense should keep Jacksonville in a lot of games it may not have any business of winning.
Key to success: As I just mentioned, the defense should keep Jacksonville in a lot of games meaning that if the Jaguars want to improve on last year's record, the offense will have to come through and in a big way. By adding Northcutt, the Jaguars believe they have solved a lot of their offensive woes from last year but as anyone who has followed Northcutt's career knows, that is more wishful thinking than it is anything else.
Against Washington: Probably the most exciting win of last year for Skins fans was when these two teams met early on. This game, which went into overtime, was won on a long TD pass from Mark Brunell to Santana Moss and was probably the lone highlight of the season. The two teams do not meet this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Defense. Aside from Jones-Drew, the only player/unit from Jacksonville that is worth using every week will be the defense. With a disruptive front line and a solid LB corp, this unit should be able to put up a decent number of sacks and turnovers, along with being able to keep scores low. Keep this group high up on your list of defenses and be prepared to them late after a run on defenses has been made earlier in your draft.
Last year: 8-8 (third in AFC South)
Best addition: Jermaine Wiggins (TE, Vikings)
Key personnel loss: Donovin Darius (S, FA)
2007 outlook: In all honesty, Jacksonville didn't lose or gain much through free agency, and in fact of all of the players the Jaguars lost, they actually seemed to be doing themselves a favor. A .500 team last year, the team continues to be plagued by mediocre WR's (hello Dennis Northcutt) while boasting a strong running game and questions about Byron Leftwich's health. Along with Wiggins, the only real offensive threat is RB Maurice Jones-Drew.
With a coach like Jack Del Rio, the Jaguars should remain a solid defensive team although the recent release of Darius and the loss of Deon Grant leave holes at the safety position. If the secondary play remains steady, this defense should keep Jacksonville in a lot of games it may not have any business of winning.
Key to success: As I just mentioned, the defense should keep Jacksonville in a lot of games meaning that if the Jaguars want to improve on last year's record, the offense will have to come through and in a big way. By adding Northcutt, the Jaguars believe they have solved a lot of their offensive woes from last year but as anyone who has followed Northcutt's career knows, that is more wishful thinking than it is anything else.
Against Washington: Probably the most exciting win of last year for Skins fans was when these two teams met early on. This game, which went into overtime, was won on a long TD pass from Mark Brunell to Santana Moss and was probably the lone highlight of the season. The two teams do not meet this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Defense. Aside from Jones-Drew, the only player/unit from Jacksonville that is worth using every week will be the defense. With a disruptive front line and a solid LB corp, this unit should be able to put up a decent number of sacks and turnovers, along with being able to keep scores low. Keep this group high up on your list of defenses and be prepared to them late after a run on defenses has been made earlier in your draft.
Friday, July 20, 2007
2007 Previews: Indianapolis Colts
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 12-4 (Super Bowl champs)
Best addition: Anthony Gonzalez (WR, 1st round draft pick out of Ohio State)
Key personnel losses: Mike Doss (S, Vikings) and Cato June (LB, Buccaneers)
2007 outlook: With the proverbial monkey finally off the backs of Peyton Manning and Tony Dungy, what will the Colts do for an encore? Well, when the only impact pickup in the offseason is another weapon for Manning, Colts fans have to be thinking about a repeat. And they have no reason to think otherwise, at least as far as the offense is concerned.
Defensively however, this will be a brand new team - which may not be a bad thing given the Colts previous shortcomings in this area. Gone are leaders like June and Doss but it was apparent that Bob Sanders was really the glue that held that unit together as they markedly improved when he came back from injury and the Colts always seem to have another LB ready when a top flight one departs. And with Dungy's penchant for building defenses, it seems to not matter who is back there, they will be good enough to keep their offense from being outscored.
Key to success: All eyes will be on 2nd year RB Joseph Addai and how he takes to the role of being the sole back. He was drafted last year to replace the departed Edgerrin James and between him and the recently departed Dominic Rhodes they actually did what James could not and get to a Super Bowl. But now Addai has to go it alone and while it may be unreasonable to expect the Colts to repeat, if they do it will be because Addai was more than adequate at replacing both James and Rhodes.
Against Washington: The Skins probably should have beaten the Colts last year given the position they were in at halftime and the beating they had dished out to Manning but Indy came to life in the second half and beat Washington 36-22. The two teams do not meet this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Ben Utecht. While Dallas Clark gets most of the pass catching responsibilities in this offense, Utecht is actually in the same role Clark was when Marcus Pollard was still in Indy. Utecht has the ability to catch and get open and with defenses focusing more on Clark, he should be able to find ways to contribute in the two-TE sets Indy runs. With TE always being a position of peaks and valleys, Utecht may prove to be better than most of the regular starters in the league.
Last year: 12-4 (Super Bowl champs)
Best addition: Anthony Gonzalez (WR, 1st round draft pick out of Ohio State)
Key personnel losses: Mike Doss (S, Vikings) and Cato June (LB, Buccaneers)
2007 outlook: With the proverbial monkey finally off the backs of Peyton Manning and Tony Dungy, what will the Colts do for an encore? Well, when the only impact pickup in the offseason is another weapon for Manning, Colts fans have to be thinking about a repeat. And they have no reason to think otherwise, at least as far as the offense is concerned.
Defensively however, this will be a brand new team - which may not be a bad thing given the Colts previous shortcomings in this area. Gone are leaders like June and Doss but it was apparent that Bob Sanders was really the glue that held that unit together as they markedly improved when he came back from injury and the Colts always seem to have another LB ready when a top flight one departs. And with Dungy's penchant for building defenses, it seems to not matter who is back there, they will be good enough to keep their offense from being outscored.
Key to success: All eyes will be on 2nd year RB Joseph Addai and how he takes to the role of being the sole back. He was drafted last year to replace the departed Edgerrin James and between him and the recently departed Dominic Rhodes they actually did what James could not and get to a Super Bowl. But now Addai has to go it alone and while it may be unreasonable to expect the Colts to repeat, if they do it will be because Addai was more than adequate at replacing both James and Rhodes.
Against Washington: The Skins probably should have beaten the Colts last year given the position they were in at halftime and the beating they had dished out to Manning but Indy came to life in the second half and beat Washington 36-22. The two teams do not meet this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Ben Utecht. While Dallas Clark gets most of the pass catching responsibilities in this offense, Utecht is actually in the same role Clark was when Marcus Pollard was still in Indy. Utecht has the ability to catch and get open and with defenses focusing more on Clark, he should be able to find ways to contribute in the two-TE sets Indy runs. With TE always being a position of peaks and valleys, Utecht may prove to be better than most of the regular starters in the league.
2007 Previews: Houston Texans
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 6-10 (fourth in AFC South)
Best addition: Matt Schaub (QB, Falcons)
Key personnel loss: Antwan Peek (LB, Browns)
2007 outlook: Still in shambles after all these years, Houston made wholesale changes - including letting the team's first ever No. 1 overall draft pick David Carr find new employment - and the hope is the team is getting better under 2nd year coach Gary Kubiak. Highly regarded Schaub will replace Carr this season and Ahman Green will take over as the No. 1 RB. The best weapon on offense remains WR Andre Johnson, but after the Eric Moulds experiment didn't work out last year, Johnson finds himself the only target defenses will respect.
Mario Williams will forever be linked to Reggie Bush because he was drafted ahead of him when Houston was desperate for - and still is - a RB. However, the defense may actually be improved this year with the addition of 1st round pick Amobi Okoye. The LB corp looks to be the strength of this unit, especially with its depth, while the secondary is thin and could pose problems if any injuries occur.
Key to success: In all reality, Houston probably has no real shot at making the playoffs, no matter how much the team overachieves. With a (still) patchwork line that proved to be the downfall of Carr and no running game to speak, the offense will have a hard time moving the ball. The Texans could have a chance of being respectable, but they will go only as far as the defense can carry them.
Against Washington: The Skins beat the Texans 31-15 in week 3 for their first win of the season. In that game Ladell Betts ran for 124 yards. The teams will not face each other this year.
Fantasy sleeper: Matt Schaub. The only real weapon on this team is Johnson and the guy who will benefit most from his playmaking abilities will be Schaub. Because Johnson is one of the top WR's in fantasy football, Schaub should put up good enough numbers to be considered a spot starter while his mobility boosts his value because he will be able to pick up points on the ground. He may not rack up the points on the ground like his former teammate Michael Vick, but Schaub is more mobile than Carr, which could also give him a better shot at staying upright more than Carr too.
Last year: 6-10 (fourth in AFC South)
Best addition: Matt Schaub (QB, Falcons)
Key personnel loss: Antwan Peek (LB, Browns)
2007 outlook: Still in shambles after all these years, Houston made wholesale changes - including letting the team's first ever No. 1 overall draft pick David Carr find new employment - and the hope is the team is getting better under 2nd year coach Gary Kubiak. Highly regarded Schaub will replace Carr this season and Ahman Green will take over as the No. 1 RB. The best weapon on offense remains WR Andre Johnson, but after the Eric Moulds experiment didn't work out last year, Johnson finds himself the only target defenses will respect.
Mario Williams will forever be linked to Reggie Bush because he was drafted ahead of him when Houston was desperate for - and still is - a RB. However, the defense may actually be improved this year with the addition of 1st round pick Amobi Okoye. The LB corp looks to be the strength of this unit, especially with its depth, while the secondary is thin and could pose problems if any injuries occur.
Key to success: In all reality, Houston probably has no real shot at making the playoffs, no matter how much the team overachieves. With a (still) patchwork line that proved to be the downfall of Carr and no running game to speak, the offense will have a hard time moving the ball. The Texans could have a chance of being respectable, but they will go only as far as the defense can carry them.
Against Washington: The Skins beat the Texans 31-15 in week 3 for their first win of the season. In that game Ladell Betts ran for 124 yards. The teams will not face each other this year.
Fantasy sleeper: Matt Schaub. The only real weapon on this team is Johnson and the guy who will benefit most from his playmaking abilities will be Schaub. Because Johnson is one of the top WR's in fantasy football, Schaub should put up good enough numbers to be considered a spot starter while his mobility boosts his value because he will be able to pick up points on the ground. He may not rack up the points on the ground like his former teammate Michael Vick, but Schaub is more mobile than Carr, which could also give him a better shot at staying upright more than Carr too.
Wednesday, July 18, 2007
2007 Previews: Green Bay Packers
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 8-8 (second in NFC North)
Best addition: Justin Harrell (DT, 1st round pick out of Tennessee)
Key personnel loss: Ahman Green (RB, Texans)
2007 outlook: When your best addition is a first round draft pick on the D Line while you let a former premier RB go without replacing him, you have issues. That is the situation in Green Bay. Green may have been struggling lately to stay healthy but could someone tell me what the alternative is? According to the roster its Vernand Morency, whom the Packers got from the Texans which tells me one thing - if he was expendable in a place where they haven't had a real steady, reliable runner, then why would you think Morency will be a better back than Green, who takes over in Houston? I'm sure Brett Favre is loving this.
On defense, the team remains thin at LB, and like what happened with the RB spot, Green Bay did nothing to fix this issue. Right now Brady Poppinga - who I actually met at my time in Evanston, Wyo. and have a lot of respect for - is slated to start next to Nick Barnett and AJ Hawk which could be a problem since he has had some health problems and there is no real depth behind him. If the LB corp can somehow hold together, this defense should help the team get to the playoffs.
Key to success: The Packers are thin in key positions and like the last couple of years, any injuries to guys at those spots will end the season on the spot. The funny thing is these positions were thin last year too, so why weren't they addressed in the offseason. This team looks like it is already being held together by duct tape and if it doesn't hold, Favre will probably kick himself for coming back yet again. That scenario gets more likely every day.
Against Washington: The Skins will travel to Lambeau Field on Oct. 14 to take on the Packers, two weeks after Washington's bye week. The Skins last faced the Packers on Halloween in 2004, a 28-14 loss at home.
Fantasy sleeper: Brandon Jackson. The team's 2nd round pick out of Nebraska, it is probably only a matter of time before Jackson takes the starting job from Morency. With not much standing in his way, look for Jackson to break some big runs early on and become a hot waiver wire pickup in the first couple of weeks. If you are desperate for a back in the late rounds of your draft, pick Jackson and tuck him away before he becomes a hot waiver wire pickup. And if you have no need for him when he gets hot, sell him high and fix another weak spot on your team.
Last year: 8-8 (second in NFC North)
Best addition: Justin Harrell (DT, 1st round pick out of Tennessee)
Key personnel loss: Ahman Green (RB, Texans)
2007 outlook: When your best addition is a first round draft pick on the D Line while you let a former premier RB go without replacing him, you have issues. That is the situation in Green Bay. Green may have been struggling lately to stay healthy but could someone tell me what the alternative is? According to the roster its Vernand Morency, whom the Packers got from the Texans which tells me one thing - if he was expendable in a place where they haven't had a real steady, reliable runner, then why would you think Morency will be a better back than Green, who takes over in Houston? I'm sure Brett Favre is loving this.
On defense, the team remains thin at LB, and like what happened with the RB spot, Green Bay did nothing to fix this issue. Right now Brady Poppinga - who I actually met at my time in Evanston, Wyo. and have a lot of respect for - is slated to start next to Nick Barnett and AJ Hawk which could be a problem since he has had some health problems and there is no real depth behind him. If the LB corp can somehow hold together, this defense should help the team get to the playoffs.
Key to success: The Packers are thin in key positions and like the last couple of years, any injuries to guys at those spots will end the season on the spot. The funny thing is these positions were thin last year too, so why weren't they addressed in the offseason. This team looks like it is already being held together by duct tape and if it doesn't hold, Favre will probably kick himself for coming back yet again. That scenario gets more likely every day.
Against Washington: The Skins will travel to Lambeau Field on Oct. 14 to take on the Packers, two weeks after Washington's bye week. The Skins last faced the Packers on Halloween in 2004, a 28-14 loss at home.
Fantasy sleeper: Brandon Jackson. The team's 2nd round pick out of Nebraska, it is probably only a matter of time before Jackson takes the starting job from Morency. With not much standing in his way, look for Jackson to break some big runs early on and become a hot waiver wire pickup in the first couple of weeks. If you are desperate for a back in the late rounds of your draft, pick Jackson and tuck him away before he becomes a hot waiver wire pickup. And if you have no need for him when he gets hot, sell him high and fix another weak spot on your team.
2007 Previews: Detroit Lions
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 3-13 (fourth in NFC North)
Best addition: Edwin Mulitalo (G, Ravens)
Key personnel loss: Dre' Bly (CB, Broncos)
2007 outlook: I hate to say a guard is the biggest addition when the Lions made dozens of moves this offseason but it seems Matt Millen has added another vice to his penchant for drafting WR's as this year he signed two more RB's to go along with Kevin Jones (who's potential is only matched by his lack of durability).
On defense even more questions remain as the Lions let 7 players go from last year's squad and didn't do much to replace them. Bly may not be the player he is hyped to be but was still better than any other option Detroit had - and to trade him for a RB they didn't necessarily need makes me question Millen even more. But that is another topic for another time.
The one positive this year is that many fans will actually be paying attention to Detroit to see how 1st round pick Calvin Johnson meshes with super WR Roy Williams. At least the Lions will have something worth paying attention too.
Key to success: Where to begin. Seeing what progress the Lions were actually making would be a lot easier if anyone actually knew what type of team and/or emphasis Millen was trying to build and work towards. Whether it's drafting WR after WR in the first round every year or picking up two starting caliber RB's to compete with the back they already have, it seems Detroit's money would be better spent elsewhere. There is no way this team has success until a clear vision is defined.
Against Washington: After having its bye week four weeks into the season, the Skins will host the Lions the following week on Oct. 7. The two teams last met in Detroit in 2004, a 17-10 win in which Mark Brunell threw for only 58 yards.
Fantasy sleeper: Johnson. While Williams will get all of the fantasy publicity, Johnson will probably get a lot as well and could compete to be the NFL's offensive rookie of the year which should translate into big TD numbers. While rookie WR's can often be a gamble, Johnson is 6'5" and should have no problem using that height to score multiple red zone TD's, provided the Lions can actually get into the red zone. Look to take a flier on Johnson in the middle rounds when other team's No. 2 receivers start to come off the board.
Last year: 3-13 (fourth in NFC North)
Best addition: Edwin Mulitalo (G, Ravens)
Key personnel loss: Dre' Bly (CB, Broncos)
2007 outlook: I hate to say a guard is the biggest addition when the Lions made dozens of moves this offseason but it seems Matt Millen has added another vice to his penchant for drafting WR's as this year he signed two more RB's to go along with Kevin Jones (who's potential is only matched by his lack of durability).
On defense even more questions remain as the Lions let 7 players go from last year's squad and didn't do much to replace them. Bly may not be the player he is hyped to be but was still better than any other option Detroit had - and to trade him for a RB they didn't necessarily need makes me question Millen even more. But that is another topic for another time.
The one positive this year is that many fans will actually be paying attention to Detroit to see how 1st round pick Calvin Johnson meshes with super WR Roy Williams. At least the Lions will have something worth paying attention too.
Key to success: Where to begin. Seeing what progress the Lions were actually making would be a lot easier if anyone actually knew what type of team and/or emphasis Millen was trying to build and work towards. Whether it's drafting WR after WR in the first round every year or picking up two starting caliber RB's to compete with the back they already have, it seems Detroit's money would be better spent elsewhere. There is no way this team has success until a clear vision is defined.
Against Washington: After having its bye week four weeks into the season, the Skins will host the Lions the following week on Oct. 7. The two teams last met in Detroit in 2004, a 17-10 win in which Mark Brunell threw for only 58 yards.
Fantasy sleeper: Johnson. While Williams will get all of the fantasy publicity, Johnson will probably get a lot as well and could compete to be the NFL's offensive rookie of the year which should translate into big TD numbers. While rookie WR's can often be a gamble, Johnson is 6'5" and should have no problem using that height to score multiple red zone TD's, provided the Lions can actually get into the red zone. Look to take a flier on Johnson in the middle rounds when other team's No. 2 receivers start to come off the board.
2007 Previews: Denver Broncos
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 9-7 (third in AFC West)
Best addition: Brandon Stokley (WR, Colts)
Key personnel loss: Al Wilson (LB)
2007 outlook: With all of the moves Denver made in the offseason, Stokley is probably the most underrated acquisition. Even though the Broncos added big names on both offense and defense such as Travis Henry, Dre' Bly and Daniel Graham, the only WR's who have proven to have more big play potential are the aging Rod Smith and last year's key WR acquisition Javon Walker.
On defense, the Broncos let Wilson go because they think they have suitable replacements - which may be the case - but the defensive line could still use a lot of work. The Broncos first two picks in this year's draft were linemen but it remains unseen how much Jarvis Moss and Tim Crowder will contribute right away.
Key to success: How the newer pieces mesh with the old pieces will once again be the difference between making the playoffs and barely missing out like last season. Jay Cutler's development will also play a key part in how far the Broncos go this year. However, Mike Shanahan always seems to be able to get the best out of his players so a return to the playoffs is probably likely.
Against Washington: Denver last faced the Skins in 2005 with the Broncos winning 21-19. The two teams do not face each other this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Stokely. The key addition is the choice here as well as he will probably play a similar role in Denver to the one he had in Indy where he often had big games being the third guy along side Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne. While Smith and Walker may not quite be Harrison and Wayne, they are close enough that Stokley will often be able to exploit saftey's and nickel corner's 1-on-1, a dream matchup for any Stokley owner.
Last year: 9-7 (third in AFC West)
Best addition: Brandon Stokley (WR, Colts)
Key personnel loss: Al Wilson (LB)
2007 outlook: With all of the moves Denver made in the offseason, Stokley is probably the most underrated acquisition. Even though the Broncos added big names on both offense and defense such as Travis Henry, Dre' Bly and Daniel Graham, the only WR's who have proven to have more big play potential are the aging Rod Smith and last year's key WR acquisition Javon Walker.
On defense, the Broncos let Wilson go because they think they have suitable replacements - which may be the case - but the defensive line could still use a lot of work. The Broncos first two picks in this year's draft were linemen but it remains unseen how much Jarvis Moss and Tim Crowder will contribute right away.
Key to success: How the newer pieces mesh with the old pieces will once again be the difference between making the playoffs and barely missing out like last season. Jay Cutler's development will also play a key part in how far the Broncos go this year. However, Mike Shanahan always seems to be able to get the best out of his players so a return to the playoffs is probably likely.
Against Washington: Denver last faced the Skins in 2005 with the Broncos winning 21-19. The two teams do not face each other this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Stokely. The key addition is the choice here as well as he will probably play a similar role in Denver to the one he had in Indy where he often had big games being the third guy along side Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne. While Smith and Walker may not quite be Harrison and Wayne, they are close enough that Stokley will often be able to exploit saftey's and nickel corner's 1-on-1, a dream matchup for any Stokley owner.
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
2007 Previews: Dallas Cowboys
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Here is a bonus for getting Monday's preview out so late.
Last year: 9-7 (second in NFC East)
Best addition: Leonard Davis (OL, Cardinals)
Key personnel loss: none.
2007 outlook: For a team that missed the playoffs last year, Dallas really didn't do much to improve, only adding Davis and not really losing much. The problem with this approach is that while most of the other top teams got better, the Cowboys stay the same, and having missed the playoffs last year I fail to see how they will match up with the top tier teams.
Tony Romo needs to prove he is more than a one-year wonder but Marion Barber, Julius Jones, Terrell Owens (as much as it pains me to say it), Terry Glenn and Jason Witten give Romo good weapons to play with while the defense, under the guidance of new HC Wade Phillips should only improve. This is not good for Redskins fans.
Key to success: Much like last year, chemistry will be the key, especially if TO is not kept happy. Able to easily disrupt any locker room, Owens will be happy if the Cowboys win. If they lose early on, trouble will ensue. Keeping TO happy will keep the rest of the team happy which will keep the fans happy.
Against Washington: The best rivalry in football, Dallas will host the first meeting between the two teams on Nov. 18 while the Cowboys will come to Washington to finish out the season on Dec. 30. If things play out like fans want, the second meeting could determine the playoff fates of both teams.
Fantasy sleeper: Marion Barber. Jones will get the yards but Barber will get the TD's, and in my book, TD's end up being more help in the long run. Barber quietly had a solid season last year fantasy-wise and was a late round pick at best. This year, Barber is mid-round talent so plan to pick him up before the starters on some of the teams that struggle to run. Barber could be a player that makes or breaks a fantasy season.
Here is a bonus for getting Monday's preview out so late.
Last year: 9-7 (second in NFC East)
Best addition: Leonard Davis (OL, Cardinals)
Key personnel loss: none.
2007 outlook: For a team that missed the playoffs last year, Dallas really didn't do much to improve, only adding Davis and not really losing much. The problem with this approach is that while most of the other top teams got better, the Cowboys stay the same, and having missed the playoffs last year I fail to see how they will match up with the top tier teams.
Tony Romo needs to prove he is more than a one-year wonder but Marion Barber, Julius Jones, Terrell Owens (as much as it pains me to say it), Terry Glenn and Jason Witten give Romo good weapons to play with while the defense, under the guidance of new HC Wade Phillips should only improve. This is not good for Redskins fans.
Key to success: Much like last year, chemistry will be the key, especially if TO is not kept happy. Able to easily disrupt any locker room, Owens will be happy if the Cowboys win. If they lose early on, trouble will ensue. Keeping TO happy will keep the rest of the team happy which will keep the fans happy.
Against Washington: The best rivalry in football, Dallas will host the first meeting between the two teams on Nov. 18 while the Cowboys will come to Washington to finish out the season on Dec. 30. If things play out like fans want, the second meeting could determine the playoff fates of both teams.
Fantasy sleeper: Marion Barber. Jones will get the yards but Barber will get the TD's, and in my book, TD's end up being more help in the long run. Barber quietly had a solid season last year fantasy-wise and was a late round pick at best. This year, Barber is mid-round talent so plan to pick him up before the starters on some of the teams that struggle to run. Barber could be a player that makes or breaks a fantasy season.
2007 Previews: Cleveland Browns
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 4-12 (fourth in AFC North)
Best addition: Jamal Lewis (RB, Ravens)
Key personnel loss: LeCharles Bentley (C, complications from last year's knee injury)
2007 outlook: If there is one thing Romeo Crennel knows, it's defense. Too bad it's the offense that is still undergoing some major renovation and will most likely lead to his downfall. While no one can fault the Browns for what is happening with Bentley, the offense has a lot of new pieces including OT Joe Thomas and QB Brady Quinn which can't be counted on to produce right away, which mean Crennel will be looking for a new job come January.
The addition of Lewis and G Eric Steinbach should take pressure off the passing game but it won't be enough. And while the defense has some promising pieces, it will be in too many high pressure situations to keep the team in most games. This promises to be another long season for the Dawg Pound.
Key to success: If the Browns want to even think about the playoffs, the young players they have will have to mature extremely quickly. The problem is that the only way to mature players faster is to get them experience, which means this season is probably shot if Cleveland has to rely on Quinn early on. The defense may be adequate, but the entire season hinges on how quickly the offense learns how to play together.
Against Washington: The Browns will not face the Skins this season and the last time the two teams met was in 2004, a 17-13 win for the Browns in Cleveland. Of course Jeff Garcia and Lee Suggs were key components of the offense back then so who knows what will happen when these two teams finally face off again.
Fantasy sleeper: Braylon Edwards. On a team full of offensive disasters as far as Fantasy Football is concerned, the only decent pick from Cleveland may be Edwards. However, buyer beware when selecting Edwards, who has been bothered by injuries and QB's like Charlie Frye. Edwards is definitely worth considering thie year, especially if you fail to grab a top WR earlier in your draft.
Last year: 4-12 (fourth in AFC North)
Best addition: Jamal Lewis (RB, Ravens)
Key personnel loss: LeCharles Bentley (C, complications from last year's knee injury)
2007 outlook: If there is one thing Romeo Crennel knows, it's defense. Too bad it's the offense that is still undergoing some major renovation and will most likely lead to his downfall. While no one can fault the Browns for what is happening with Bentley, the offense has a lot of new pieces including OT Joe Thomas and QB Brady Quinn which can't be counted on to produce right away, which mean Crennel will be looking for a new job come January.
The addition of Lewis and G Eric Steinbach should take pressure off the passing game but it won't be enough. And while the defense has some promising pieces, it will be in too many high pressure situations to keep the team in most games. This promises to be another long season for the Dawg Pound.
Key to success: If the Browns want to even think about the playoffs, the young players they have will have to mature extremely quickly. The problem is that the only way to mature players faster is to get them experience, which means this season is probably shot if Cleveland has to rely on Quinn early on. The defense may be adequate, but the entire season hinges on how quickly the offense learns how to play together.
Against Washington: The Browns will not face the Skins this season and the last time the two teams met was in 2004, a 17-13 win for the Browns in Cleveland. Of course Jeff Garcia and Lee Suggs were key components of the offense back then so who knows what will happen when these two teams finally face off again.
Fantasy sleeper: Braylon Edwards. On a team full of offensive disasters as far as Fantasy Football is concerned, the only decent pick from Cleveland may be Edwards. However, buyer beware when selecting Edwards, who has been bothered by injuries and QB's like Charlie Frye. Edwards is definitely worth considering thie year, especially if you fail to grab a top WR earlier in your draft.
Sunday, July 15, 2007
2007 Previews: Cincinnati Bengals
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 8-8 (tied for second in AFC North)
Best addition: Leon Hall (CB, drafted in 1st round out of Michigan)
Key personnel loss: Brian Simmons (LB, Saints)
2007 outlook: An offense that features Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, Rudi Johnson, TJ Houshmandzadeh and Willie Anderson should automatically be guaranteed a record better than 8-8 yet it seems all of the Bengals extra-curricular activities finally caught up with them last year. The team as a whole seems to be better behaved this offseason but the defense will have to play a lot better if they are going to win more games and make the playoffs.
The biggest hole Cincinnati seemed to have was in its secondary, which it addressed with its first round pick of Hall but the team is still thin at the corner position. The loss of Simmons takes a consistent player out of the LB corp but the Bengals always seem to have a knack for finding suitable replacements.
Key to success: The offense will produce so the ability of the defense to prevent opponents from outscoring them will determine how far this team goes. As far as beating the other teams in their conference, Cincinnati went 4-2 last year against Baltimore, Cleveland and Pittsburgh but only went 2-4 against the rest of the AFC. Talent is not an issue with these guys, but as the defense goes so do the Bengals chances of the playoffs.
Against Washington: The last time the Bengals faced Washington was in 2004 when they beat the Skins in Washington 17-10. Cincinnati should appear on Washington's schedule again in 2008.
Fantasy sleeper: Kenny Irons. Rudi Johnson should be a top 10 pick considering the consistency he has had the past few years but Irons is a definite home run threat any time he touches the ball. Like the LaDainian Tomlinson-Michael Turner situation in San Diego, Irons may not start a game this year but could put up a big point game or two with long TD runs. On a team full of fantasy stars, look for Irons to be available for pickup from waivers during the year until he has a big point game.
Last year: 8-8 (tied for second in AFC North)
Best addition: Leon Hall (CB, drafted in 1st round out of Michigan)
Key personnel loss: Brian Simmons (LB, Saints)
2007 outlook: An offense that features Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, Rudi Johnson, TJ Houshmandzadeh and Willie Anderson should automatically be guaranteed a record better than 8-8 yet it seems all of the Bengals extra-curricular activities finally caught up with them last year. The team as a whole seems to be better behaved this offseason but the defense will have to play a lot better if they are going to win more games and make the playoffs.
The biggest hole Cincinnati seemed to have was in its secondary, which it addressed with its first round pick of Hall but the team is still thin at the corner position. The loss of Simmons takes a consistent player out of the LB corp but the Bengals always seem to have a knack for finding suitable replacements.
Key to success: The offense will produce so the ability of the defense to prevent opponents from outscoring them will determine how far this team goes. As far as beating the other teams in their conference, Cincinnati went 4-2 last year against Baltimore, Cleveland and Pittsburgh but only went 2-4 against the rest of the AFC. Talent is not an issue with these guys, but as the defense goes so do the Bengals chances of the playoffs.
Against Washington: The last time the Bengals faced Washington was in 2004 when they beat the Skins in Washington 17-10. Cincinnati should appear on Washington's schedule again in 2008.
Fantasy sleeper: Kenny Irons. Rudi Johnson should be a top 10 pick considering the consistency he has had the past few years but Irons is a definite home run threat any time he touches the ball. Like the LaDainian Tomlinson-Michael Turner situation in San Diego, Irons may not start a game this year but could put up a big point game or two with long TD runs. On a team full of fantasy stars, look for Irons to be available for pickup from waivers during the year until he has a big point game.
Saturday, July 14, 2007
2007 Previews: Chicago Bears
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 13-3 (NFC champs, lost to Colts in Super Bowl)
Best addition: Anthony Adams (DT, 49ers)
Key personnel loss: Thomas Jones (RB, Jets)
2007 outlook: Even though they went to the Super Bowl last year and their defense is still as dangerous as ever, the Chicago Bears have huge question marks on the offensive side of the ball. The first is which Rex Grossman will show up the most this year - will it be the one that threw 4 TD passes against the Lions or the one that threw 3 or more INTs against the Cardinals, Dolphins, Patriots, Vikings and Packers?
While Grossman has the potential to be more consistent in his second full year as a starter, he may face even more pressure with the departure of Jones, which leaves Cedric Benson as the Bears every down RB. Defenses may try to use 8-man fronts early to rattle Grossman and Benson and unless they beat those fronts early, they will continue to see them until they make teams pay, which could be a hard challenge to overcome.
Key to success: This defense carried the team to the Super Bowl last year and if the Bears want to get back there, it will have to carry it again. Adams should provide more reliability compared to the man he replaced (the now-unemployed Tank Johnson) in the middle of the D-line with the returning Tommie Harris. It may be asking a lot to have a defense carry a team to the Super Bowl but if there is any defense that it can, it's the one in Chicago that is anchored by Brian Urlacher.
Against Washington: The defending NFC champs come to town for a Thursday night game in December. The Skins last faced Chicago to open the season in 2005 in the game that proved to be the (short-lived) return of Mark Brunell and the end of Patrick Ramsey's career in Washington. The Skins won 9-7 when the defense helped force Chicago into a 3rd-and-38 at the end of the game.
Fantasy sleeper: Desmond Clark. Even though Chicago drafted Miami TE Greg Olsen in the first round this year, look for Clark to still be the primary TE target early on. This means Clark should be the one getting the looks around the goal line and with the running game a question mark, look for the WR's and TE's to benefit while things get straightened out. Clark is the perfect option for those who choose to pass up the early-round TE frenzy sure to take place around the third or fourth round.
Last year: 13-3 (NFC champs, lost to Colts in Super Bowl)
Best addition: Anthony Adams (DT, 49ers)
Key personnel loss: Thomas Jones (RB, Jets)
2007 outlook: Even though they went to the Super Bowl last year and their defense is still as dangerous as ever, the Chicago Bears have huge question marks on the offensive side of the ball. The first is which Rex Grossman will show up the most this year - will it be the one that threw 4 TD passes against the Lions or the one that threw 3 or more INTs against the Cardinals, Dolphins, Patriots, Vikings and Packers?
While Grossman has the potential to be more consistent in his second full year as a starter, he may face even more pressure with the departure of Jones, which leaves Cedric Benson as the Bears every down RB. Defenses may try to use 8-man fronts early to rattle Grossman and Benson and unless they beat those fronts early, they will continue to see them until they make teams pay, which could be a hard challenge to overcome.
Key to success: This defense carried the team to the Super Bowl last year and if the Bears want to get back there, it will have to carry it again. Adams should provide more reliability compared to the man he replaced (the now-unemployed Tank Johnson) in the middle of the D-line with the returning Tommie Harris. It may be asking a lot to have a defense carry a team to the Super Bowl but if there is any defense that it can, it's the one in Chicago that is anchored by Brian Urlacher.
Against Washington: The defending NFC champs come to town for a Thursday night game in December. The Skins last faced Chicago to open the season in 2005 in the game that proved to be the (short-lived) return of Mark Brunell and the end of Patrick Ramsey's career in Washington. The Skins won 9-7 when the defense helped force Chicago into a 3rd-and-38 at the end of the game.
Fantasy sleeper: Desmond Clark. Even though Chicago drafted Miami TE Greg Olsen in the first round this year, look for Clark to still be the primary TE target early on. This means Clark should be the one getting the looks around the goal line and with the running game a question mark, look for the WR's and TE's to benefit while things get straightened out. Clark is the perfect option for those who choose to pass up the early-round TE frenzy sure to take place around the third or fourth round.
Friday, July 13, 2007
2007 Previews: Buffalo Bills
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 7-9 (third in AFC East)
Best addition: Derrick Dockery (G, Redskins)
Key personnel losses: Willis McGahee (RB, Ravens), Nate Clements (CB, 49ers)
2007 outlook: When 3 of 4 key, non-drafted additions to your roster are linemen, you'd better hope your running game gets better. The problem in Buffalo though is that they got rid of their stud running back (McGahee) and plan to replace him with Anthony Thomas and Marshawn Lynch. Not exactly what I would call threatening. And with Lee Evans showing he can and will take on any and all challengers and JP Losman finally heading in the right direction, the lack of a running game could really set the Bills back.
It also didn't help that Buffalo let Clements and LB London Fletcher go in free agency but the drafting of Penn State LB Paul Posluszny should soften the loss of Fletcher. Now the defense just needs to see how it can get along without Clements.
Key to success: Obviously it rests in two places: the Thomas/Lynch RB tandem and the secondary. If the Bills can't run or the secondary gets torched regularly, fans in Buffalo will be longing for last year, which really wasn't that great. There are a lot of unknowns for Buffalo heading into this season and if I were a Bills fan I would be worried.
Against Washington: The Bills will come to Washington to take on the Redskins on Dec. 2, the 12th game of the season. It could be a critical one for the Skins as they will have just finished up a two-game road trip against Dallas and Tampa Bay and the following week the defending NFC champion Bears come to town.
Fantasy sleeper: Anthony Thomas. As much as I just criticized him and his production, Thomas will probably be the goal line back in this offense - and as any fantasy owner knows, yards per carry don't count but touchdowns sure will. With Lynch being more of a slasher, look for the Bills to call on Thomas in short-yardage situations. He may not be the answer for Buffalo at RB but he could be your answer as a TD scorer. Look at picking him in the late rounds as a guy who will be starting for his team early and scoring often.
Last year: 7-9 (third in AFC East)
Best addition: Derrick Dockery (G, Redskins)
Key personnel losses: Willis McGahee (RB, Ravens), Nate Clements (CB, 49ers)
2007 outlook: When 3 of 4 key, non-drafted additions to your roster are linemen, you'd better hope your running game gets better. The problem in Buffalo though is that they got rid of their stud running back (McGahee) and plan to replace him with Anthony Thomas and Marshawn Lynch. Not exactly what I would call threatening. And with Lee Evans showing he can and will take on any and all challengers and JP Losman finally heading in the right direction, the lack of a running game could really set the Bills back.
It also didn't help that Buffalo let Clements and LB London Fletcher go in free agency but the drafting of Penn State LB Paul Posluszny should soften the loss of Fletcher. Now the defense just needs to see how it can get along without Clements.
Key to success: Obviously it rests in two places: the Thomas/Lynch RB tandem and the secondary. If the Bills can't run or the secondary gets torched regularly, fans in Buffalo will be longing for last year, which really wasn't that great. There are a lot of unknowns for Buffalo heading into this season and if I were a Bills fan I would be worried.
Against Washington: The Bills will come to Washington to take on the Redskins on Dec. 2, the 12th game of the season. It could be a critical one for the Skins as they will have just finished up a two-game road trip against Dallas and Tampa Bay and the following week the defending NFC champion Bears come to town.
Fantasy sleeper: Anthony Thomas. As much as I just criticized him and his production, Thomas will probably be the goal line back in this offense - and as any fantasy owner knows, yards per carry don't count but touchdowns sure will. With Lynch being more of a slasher, look for the Bills to call on Thomas in short-yardage situations. He may not be the answer for Buffalo at RB but he could be your answer as a TD scorer. Look at picking him in the late rounds as a guy who will be starting for his team early and scoring often.
2007 Previews: Baltimore Ravens
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 13-3 (AFC North champs, lost to Colts in AFC Divisional round)
Best addition: Willis McGahee (RB, Bills)
Key personnel loss: Adalius Thomas (LB, Patriots)
2007 outlook: The lone addition in the offseason took a rapidly aging offense and injected it with a fresh set of legs in McGahee. And unlike in Buffalo, McGahee will have a solid offensive line to run behind in Baltimore (which got even better with the pickup of former Maryland tackle Jared Gaither in the Supplemental Draft on Thursday) and should be able to consistently show the league why he was a first-round pick despite a bad knee injury five years ago.
With Steve McNair at the helm once again, expect this offense to keep its mistakes down and win a lot of low scoring contests the defense will keep them in. This may be the best Ravens squad in team history.
Key to success: Can Derrick Mason remain a No. 1 for one more year? Mark Clayton has the Ravens looking like draft day genius's with all of the contributing players that have excelled from the last three or four draft classes and Clayton is entering his third season, meaning breakout year for him. But in order to have that success, Mason needs to command enough attention for one more year so the passing game doesn't stall out like it has a tendency to.
Against Washington: The "Battle of the Beltway" is once again relegated to preseason play. Baltimore won the last meeting between the geographic rivals 17-10 at Washington in 2004.
Fantasy sleeper: The defense. I realize that may come across as a cop out but it doesn't seem to matter what player the Ravens have to replace, they continue to be one of the top five in the league. Now I don't condone drafting a defense early by any means, but Baltimore bailed my bacon out a couple of times last year and they should do the same this season. Definitely use a late round pick on them once you have filled a majority of your roster.
Last year: 13-3 (AFC North champs, lost to Colts in AFC Divisional round)
Best addition: Willis McGahee (RB, Bills)
Key personnel loss: Adalius Thomas (LB, Patriots)
2007 outlook: The lone addition in the offseason took a rapidly aging offense and injected it with a fresh set of legs in McGahee. And unlike in Buffalo, McGahee will have a solid offensive line to run behind in Baltimore (which got even better with the pickup of former Maryland tackle Jared Gaither in the Supplemental Draft on Thursday) and should be able to consistently show the league why he was a first-round pick despite a bad knee injury five years ago.
With Steve McNair at the helm once again, expect this offense to keep its mistakes down and win a lot of low scoring contests the defense will keep them in. This may be the best Ravens squad in team history.
Key to success: Can Derrick Mason remain a No. 1 for one more year? Mark Clayton has the Ravens looking like draft day genius's with all of the contributing players that have excelled from the last three or four draft classes and Clayton is entering his third season, meaning breakout year for him. But in order to have that success, Mason needs to command enough attention for one more year so the passing game doesn't stall out like it has a tendency to.
Against Washington: The "Battle of the Beltway" is once again relegated to preseason play. Baltimore won the last meeting between the geographic rivals 17-10 at Washington in 2004.
Fantasy sleeper: The defense. I realize that may come across as a cop out but it doesn't seem to matter what player the Ravens have to replace, they continue to be one of the top five in the league. Now I don't condone drafting a defense early by any means, but Baltimore bailed my bacon out a couple of times last year and they should do the same this season. Definitely use a late round pick on them once you have filled a majority of your roster.
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
2007 Previews: Atlanta Falcons
Note: This is a team-by-team look previewing the 2007 season. These are my official thoughts on how I think things will play out.
Last year: 7-9 (third in NFC South)
Best addition: Joe Horn (WR, Saints)
Key personnel loss: Matt Schaub (QB, Texans)
2007 outlook: Things would look a lot better if Michael Vick wasn't in the potential trouble he could be in. Already hearing the negativity because he hasn't quite become the QB people expected him too, Vick would really hurt the Falcons if he were to be suspended for part of the year. And with the NFL's recent crackdown on conduct, how do you trade away Schaub and enter the season with Joey Harrington as your No. 2 guy. No offense to Harrington - I was probably one of the few guys that wanted to see him succeed in the NFL - but he is not a good option to be a long term starter.
On the other hand, after trying to upgrade the receiver position with guys like Peerless Price, Ashley Lelie and Michael Jenkins, the Falcons may have finally picked up a winning receiver in Horn, who will only be more fueled by the fact New Orleans didn't want him back. And as long as the offense can find some way to jell and get past offseason distractions, the defense will be there to stop people.
Key to success: If Atlanta wants avoid the stigma of being a team in constant turmoil, the players will need to find a way to rally around each other and quickly learn new coach Bobby Petrino's system. It was obvious a change needed to be made with all of the negative publicity being caused by former coach Jim Mora Jr. (must be a family trait), but anytime you have to change systems it takes time. So even if the Falcons don't make the playoffs this season, fans should get excited even if the team just comes off as a cohesive group.
Against Washington: The Falcons beat the Skins 24-14 in Washington last year and are not on the team's schedule this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Michael Jenkins. Missing out on what should have been his breakout year last year (it seems most receivers break out in year three) Jenkins finally has a veteran to learn from that is not a complete mess. And with Horn lining up opposite him, he will have a No. 1 receiver teams will actually respect. This should create some opportunities for Jenkins and if he wants to remain gainfully employed, he will need to make the most of them. Look for Jenkins to finally become a solid fantasy option. Take a flier on him in the late rounds once you have most of your team set.
Last year: 7-9 (third in NFC South)
Best addition: Joe Horn (WR, Saints)
Key personnel loss: Matt Schaub (QB, Texans)
2007 outlook: Things would look a lot better if Michael Vick wasn't in the potential trouble he could be in. Already hearing the negativity because he hasn't quite become the QB people expected him too, Vick would really hurt the Falcons if he were to be suspended for part of the year. And with the NFL's recent crackdown on conduct, how do you trade away Schaub and enter the season with Joey Harrington as your No. 2 guy. No offense to Harrington - I was probably one of the few guys that wanted to see him succeed in the NFL - but he is not a good option to be a long term starter.
On the other hand, after trying to upgrade the receiver position with guys like Peerless Price, Ashley Lelie and Michael Jenkins, the Falcons may have finally picked up a winning receiver in Horn, who will only be more fueled by the fact New Orleans didn't want him back. And as long as the offense can find some way to jell and get past offseason distractions, the defense will be there to stop people.
Key to success: If Atlanta wants avoid the stigma of being a team in constant turmoil, the players will need to find a way to rally around each other and quickly learn new coach Bobby Petrino's system. It was obvious a change needed to be made with all of the negative publicity being caused by former coach Jim Mora Jr. (must be a family trait), but anytime you have to change systems it takes time. So even if the Falcons don't make the playoffs this season, fans should get excited even if the team just comes off as a cohesive group.
Against Washington: The Falcons beat the Skins 24-14 in Washington last year and are not on the team's schedule this season.
Fantasy sleeper: Michael Jenkins. Missing out on what should have been his breakout year last year (it seems most receivers break out in year three) Jenkins finally has a veteran to learn from that is not a complete mess. And with Horn lining up opposite him, he will have a No. 1 receiver teams will actually respect. This should create some opportunities for Jenkins and if he wants to remain gainfully employed, he will need to make the most of them. Look for Jenkins to finally become a solid fantasy option. Take a flier on him in the late rounds once you have most of your team set.
2007 Preview: Arizona Cardinals
Last year: 5-11 (fourth in NFC West)
Best additions: Ken Wisenhunt (head coach) and Russ Grimm (offensive line coach)
Key personnel loss: Leonard Davis (OT, Cowboys)
2007 outlook: A classic group of underachievers, if Wisenhunt and Grimm can't get this offensive group to live up to its potential I doubt any one could. The tools are, and have been, in place and this has to be the year the group steps up. The last time Arizona went to the playoffs Jake "The Snake" Plummer was the QB so you can bet fans are eager to see another winning squad especially with all of the young talent this group has.
On defense, there should be enough talent there now that the Cardinals can win close games but the development of the younger players will be key. Neil Rackers and Scott Player provide a solid kicking game and rookie Steve Breaston should excel in the return game.
Key to success: If the Cardinals want to make it to the playoffs, the offensive line needs to step up. Arizona had one of the worst rushing offenses last year and running back Edgerrin James was not the problem. If the line can move people off the ball, Arizona should win more than five games. The development of first round pick Levi Brown will also be key as he will probably break camp as the guy protecting QB Matt Leinart's blind side.
Against Washington: Arizona comes to town October 21, the Skins' sixth game of the season. This could be a tricky game for Washington though as they could potentially be looking ahead to week seven's game at New England. Last year Arizona couldn't run the ball and Washington couldn't rush the passer so this could be interesting. The two teams last faced each other in 2005, a 17-13 road victory for the Skins.
Fantasy sleeper: Matt Leinart. Arizona has the receivers that are annual fantasy studs and since someone has to throw them the ball, Leinart could benefit from the stellar play of Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald. It doesn't help Leinart will be learning his second offense in two years but despite all of Arizona's under achieving, Boldin and Fitzgerald continually rank among the top receivers meaning Leinart will should get a boost from their production. He is at least worth taking a look as your No. 2 QB.
Best additions: Ken Wisenhunt (head coach) and Russ Grimm (offensive line coach)
Key personnel loss: Leonard Davis (OT, Cowboys)
2007 outlook: A classic group of underachievers, if Wisenhunt and Grimm can't get this offensive group to live up to its potential I doubt any one could. The tools are, and have been, in place and this has to be the year the group steps up. The last time Arizona went to the playoffs Jake "The Snake" Plummer was the QB so you can bet fans are eager to see another winning squad especially with all of the young talent this group has.
On defense, there should be enough talent there now that the Cardinals can win close games but the development of the younger players will be key. Neil Rackers and Scott Player provide a solid kicking game and rookie Steve Breaston should excel in the return game.
Key to success: If the Cardinals want to make it to the playoffs, the offensive line needs to step up. Arizona had one of the worst rushing offenses last year and running back Edgerrin James was not the problem. If the line can move people off the ball, Arizona should win more than five games. The development of first round pick Levi Brown will also be key as he will probably break camp as the guy protecting QB Matt Leinart's blind side.
Against Washington: Arizona comes to town October 21, the Skins' sixth game of the season. This could be a tricky game for Washington though as they could potentially be looking ahead to week seven's game at New England. Last year Arizona couldn't run the ball and Washington couldn't rush the passer so this could be interesting. The two teams last faced each other in 2005, a 17-13 road victory for the Skins.
Fantasy sleeper: Matt Leinart. Arizona has the receivers that are annual fantasy studs and since someone has to throw them the ball, Leinart could benefit from the stellar play of Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald. It doesn't help Leinart will be learning his second offense in two years but despite all of Arizona's under achieving, Boldin and Fitzgerald continually rank among the top receivers meaning Leinart will should get a boost from their production. He is at least worth taking a look as your No. 2 QB.
Tuesday, July 10, 2007
Getting back to relevancy
Ok, so I have left this blog alone for over a month now but I wanted to let everyone know that I am back. With training camps opening in a couple of weeks, it's time to preview the 2007 season so starting later today, I will begin my breakdown of every team in the league, what their keys to a successful 2007 are and even give some fantasy football advice.
The long part of the offseason is almost over so let's get ready for some football.
The long part of the offseason is almost over so let's get ready for some football.
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